Life is the art of drawing sufficient conclusions from insufficient premises.
~ Samuel Butler, "Notebooks" [p1912]. Life

Known

Key:

043-1123 Karin/Five Sisters Raweh Fleet "On patrol, and is to be ready to leave at short notice"
Wonstar Fleet "In 72 hours, this fleet will jump to Iderati. It will then refuel and move on to secure Faldor"
Jone Fleet "In about three weeks, this fleet is to jump to Iderati, on to Faldor, and then to secure Dawnworld"

Projected from known

Assumption is worst case: Navy fleets spend 6 days in jump (jump-4) and 4 days re-fueling.

Key:

Date Place Who Projected Movements Actual Movements
046-1123 Karin/Five Sisters Wonstar Fleet Jumps to Iderati/Five Sisters ???
052-1123 Iderati/Five Sisters Wonstar Fleet Arrives ???
056-1123 Iderati/Five Sisters Wonstar Fleet Jumps to Faldor/District 268 ???
061-1123 Adabicci/Lunion Nightshade Arrives Accurate
062-1123 Faldor/District 268 Wonstar Fleet Arrives ???
063-1123 Adabicci/Lunion Nightshade Jumps for 807/Lunion Accurate
064-1123 Karin/Five Sisters Jone Fleet Jumps for Iderati/Five Sisters ???
068-1123 807/Lunion Nightshade Arrives, jumps for Nexine/Mora
069-1123 807/Lunion Nightshade Arrives, jumps for Nexine/Mora 068
070-1123 Iderati/Five Sisters Jone Fleet Arrives ???
071-1123 Nexine/Mora Nightshade Arrives, in fog
072-1123 Trin/Trin's Veil Nightshade Arrives, no fog
074-1123 Iderati/Five Sisters Jone Fleet Jumps for Faldor/District 268 ???
075-1123 Nexine/Mora Nightshade Arrives, jumps for Trin/Trin's Veil 071
080-1123 Faldor/District 268 Jone Fleet Arrives
081-1123 Trin/Trin's Veil Nightshade Arrives 072
082-1123 Trin/Trin's Veil Nightshade Could jump towards Mora; arrive in 2 jump-6es.
084-1123 Faldor/District 268 Jone Fleet Jumps to Dawnworld/District 268
085-1123 Adabicci/Lunion 268 Witch Hunter Arrives. "Making good time", so could be earlier.

SWAG

Assumption is worst case: Navy fleets spend 6 days in jump (jump-4) and 4 days re-fueling.

Combined Fleets' movements are based on:

Key:

090-1123 Dawnworld/District 268 Five Sisters Fleets Arrive
094-1123 Dawnworld/District 268 Five Sisters Fleets Jump to Mithras/Glisten
Subset Fleet Jumps to Olympia/Lunion?
094-1123 Mora/Mora Nightshade Could arrive at Mora (leave Trin 082, 2 jump-6es)
100-1123 Mithras/Glisten Five Sisters Fleets Arrive. Combine with unknown Glisten fleets
Olympia/Lunion Subset Fleet Arrives?
104-1123 Mithras/Glisten Combined Fleets Jump for Biconn/Glisten
Olympia/Lunion Subset Fleet Jumps to Adabicci/Lunion?
110-1123 Biconn/Glisten Combined Fleets Arrive
Adabicci/Lunion Subset Fleet Arrives? Attacks? With help from elsewhere? Note that alignments of Lanth and Vilis are unknown.
110-1123 Victoria/Lanth Witch Hunter? Arrives for Ancient dig?
114-1123 Biconn/Glisten Combined Fleets Jump for Tussinian/Trin's Veil
120-1123 Tussinian/Trin's Veil Combined Fleets Arrive
124-1123 Tussinian/Trin's Veil Combined Fleets Jump for Meleto/Mora
130-1123 Meleto or Tivid/Mora Combined Fleets Arrive
134-1123 Meleto or Tivid/Mora Combined Fleets Jump for Grille/Mora
140-1123 Grille/Mora Combined Fleets Arrive
144-1123 Grille/Mora Combined Fleets Jump for Mora/Mora
150-1123 Mora/Mora Combined Fleets Arrive, attack. With help from Rhylanor? Does Rhylanor arrive early, rendezvous on the way, or meet at Mora? Note Nightshade can arrive Mora 66 days earlier on 094.

Summary

With Santanocheev
  • Glisten/District 268
  • Five Sisters Fleets
  • Rhylanor Fleets
With Norris
  • Mora and Fleets
  • Adabicci (has own problems, but perhaps aided by Lunion)
  • Duke Rhylanor (-Fleets)
  • Regina/Jewell (Blocked by Rhylanor (what about Lanth and Vilis?)/No Resources)
  • Duke Trin (Fleets?) Assume for now, make sure
Defensive against Santanocheev
  • Lunion
Neutral
  • Aramis
Unkown
  • Lanth
  • Vilis
Chronor Jewell Regina Aramis
Querion Vilis Lanth Rhylanor
Darrian Sword Worlds Lunion Mora
Five Sisters District 268 Glisten Trin's Veil